AFL Round 7 tips

geelong

Geelong v GWS

Geelong – GWS have quietly worked their way to 3rd on the ladder. As exciting as GWS can be, it’s hard to see Geelong losing at home two weeks in a row. It’ll be a close match, but keep the faith in the fortress and expect the experienced heads at Geelong to get the four points on Friday night.

Western Bulldogs v Gold Coast Suns

Bulldogs – What once seemed like an exciting matchup on paper has ultimately fallen flat with the news that Gold Coast co-captains Tom Lynch and Steven May will both miss this week’s matchup in Ballarat. The young dogs are starting to find some chemistry, especially through the midfield with Jack Macrae and Lachie Hunter having career best starts to the season. I expect them to run over the Suns.

Essendon v Hawthorn

Hawthorn – Essendon aren’t doing much at the moment and it would take some serious courage to tip them this round, especially after Worsfold conceded his team looked like “a rabbit in headlights” in last week’s third term against Melbourne. The Essendon forward line is a mess at the moment and unless they can find more reliable avenues to goal than an extremely out of form Joe Daniher, expect another heavy loss. On the other side of the coin, Hawthorn hasn’t done much wrong this season and is sitting nicely in the top 4. Expect Tom Mitchell to continue to find plenty of the footy.

West Coast v Port Adelaide

West Coast – A strong derby win makes it 5 in a row for West Coast. Port once looked like a serious threat this year, but after losses to Essendon and Geelong, followed by a win against a strong North Melbourne side, they’ve become an unpredictable side whose best is great but whose worst is unflattering. The loss of Chad Wingard to a hamstring injury hurts the Power, but the inclusion of Paddy Ryder could make all their woes disappear. Still, West Coast at Optus Stadium is a hard task for anyone these days, so expect the Eagles to get the four points.

Sydney v North Melbourne

Sydney – If Sydney can get it done at GMHBA stadium, SURELY they can get the job done on their home turf. Even though Buddy won’t be playing on Saturday night, the Swans’ defensively minded midfield is too potent for the inexperienced players that rotate through the North Melbourne midfield. North Melbourne is yet to win an away match this season, and it’s hard to see it coming from the SCG. 

Adelaide v Carlton

Adelaide – the easiest tip of the round. Not only are Carlton facing a strong Adelaide side at Adelaide Oval, they’re also battling their own mental demons and injury woes. Without Murphy and Docherty, it seems like a one-man show with Patrick Cripps being forced to carry the workload of about 10 players. Carlton look like an under-19 squad at the moment and they’d be shaking in their boots at the thought of facing Adelaide. Could get ugly.

Richmond v Fremantle

Richmond – It’s almost impossible to tip against Richmond at the moment. Their ability to spread from the contest and transition between attack and defence is unparalleled in the competition. Fremantle will be looking to bounce back after a tough loss in the derby, but considering Richmond outscored their opponents 96 to 37 in the last quarter of the last 2 matches, you have to keep the faith that they’ll run away with the win again.

St Kilda v Melbourne

Melbourne – Two teams that have not lived up to their preseason hype. Melbourne gets the edge here mainly due to the dominance that Max Gawn provides in the ruck.  After a runaway win over Essendon last week, maybe another strong win against a confused St Kilda outfit will play Melbourne into some top eight form. Expect this match to be a scrappy one.

Brisbane v Collingwood

Collingwood – A 43-point loss to Richmond doesn’t do the Magpies’ performance justice. They backed up a strong win over Essendon with three competitive quarters against the most inform team in the league, only to be run over in the last quarter following a four day break and injuries to James Aish, Ben Reid and Brayden Maynard. The Lions are young, hungry, and playing at home, but will need Dayne Zorko to return to his All-Australian form to be a chance in this match. The inclusion of Darcy Moore and Taylor Adams doesn’t do Collingwood’s chances any harm.

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